Institution: The European Central Bank may further cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025. Des Lawrence, an analyst at State Street Global Investment Management, said that after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, it may cut interest rates by another 100 basis points in 2025. The senior investment strategist said in a report that the European Central Bank can and should cut interest rates further in the coming quarters. Lawrence said that the recent PMI data shows that the economic slowdown is expanding beyond the troubled manufacturing industry, and the service industry is also under pressure.Li Guangzi, director of the Banking Research Office of the Institute of Finance of China Academy of Social Sciences: The risk of small and medium-sized financial institutions is the focus of risk disposal in the coming period. Li Guangzi, director of the Banking Research Office of the Institute of Finance of China Academy of Social Sciences, told reporters that with the implementation of the policy package to resolve local government debt risks, the local government debt risks have obviously converged recently. In contrast, risks in real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions are still outstanding. In this context, the meeting took the risks of real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions as the focus of risk disposal in the coming period, which made clear the focus and pointed out the direction for further financial risk disposal. Especially in the field of real estate, because of its long adjustment cycle and wide coverage, it is still the top priority of risk disposal. (SSE)Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC): As there was no one-off income from equity securities trading in the last quarter, bank profits declined, which was partially offset by strong net interest income; The bank reported that its quarterly net interest income increased by $4.5 billion and its net interest margin rose to 3.23%. Bank of America's profits fell by 8.6% to $65.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024.
Wu Yaping, Research Fellow, Investment Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission: Enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation and give full play to the combination of different policy tools. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to integrate economic policies and non-economic policies into the consistency assessment of macro-policy orientation, coordinate the whole process of policy formulation and implementation, and improve the overall effectiveness of policies. In this regard, Wu Yaping, a researcher at the Investment Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that to enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation, it is necessary to strengthen and improve the evaluation of macro-policy consistency, give full play to the combined force of more active fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, and give play to the combined role of different policy tools. It can be understood as "three plus": increasing fiscal and monetary policies, strengthening support for "duality" and "two innovations", and strengthening efforts to prevent and resolve risks in key areas. "The external environment will face greater uncertainty next year. We must adhere to' taking me as the main factor', strengthen the research on reserve policy, and fight for preparation." Wu Yaping said. (SSE)The gap between Italian and German government bond yields widened to 111 basis points, the highest level in a week.Will the defendant in the "Capitol Hill riots" be pardoned? Trump gave a timetable. US President-elect Trump said in an interview on the same day that he intends to pardon the "most" thugs accused or convicted in the "Capitol Hill riots" on January 6, 2021. This will be one of the first official actions during his second term as president. Trump said that the pardon will "start from the first hour, maybe the first nine minutes."
Spot silver fell more than 2.00% in the day and is now reported at $31.26 per ounce; COMEX silver fell more than 3.00% in a day and is now quoted at $31.98 per ounce.US National Security Adviser Sullivan: We are seeking to reach a hostage release agreement and cease fire; Ceasefire and hostage agreement will begin to bring hostages home and greatly increase aid to Gaza.South Korean investors flocked to the gold market. Today, the South Korean National Assembly passed the "Yin Xiyue General Special Inspection Law for Civil Disturbance" and the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law". According to a survey released by the Korean polling agency on the 12th, 74.8% of the respondents thought that President Yin Xiyue should immediately step down or be impeached, and stop performing his duties. The political situation is turbulent, and the sales of gold bars of the five major banks in South Korea have also increased significantly. On the first day after the emergency martial law incident, that is, on the 4th of this month, more than 1.5 billion won of gold bars were sold, far exceeding the daily average. (CCTV Finance)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13